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City Hall | Numbers behind Murray’s big poll results, Capitol Hill forum, 43rd endorses Conlin

  • CFV0918_03075912E59Mayor poll: Of the more than 500 registered Seattle voters pollsters at SurveyUSA were able to reach last weekend, 52% said they would vote for Ed Murray for mayor of Seattle if the election were held today. Fortunately for incumbent Mike McGinn, the election isn’t until November 5th — and polling techniques seem pretty weak. Consider this — only 10% of those polled were reached on a cell phone, the Seattle PI reports from the McGinn camp spin. For what it’s worth, 94% of SurveyUSA respondents said they they were concerned with Seattle’s traffic and transportation issues, the number one issue in the poll. 88% said public safety was a concern. Here are the basic demographic breakdowns for the mayor’s race:More revealing, perhaps, is the income breakdown — the more wealthy the voter, the more likely they were to back Murray. But, yeah, 90% landlines…
    Screen Shot 2013-09-18 at 12.06.44 PM

    (Source: SurveyUSA)

    Screen Shot 2013-09-18 at 12.09.53 PM

    (Source: SurveyUSA)

  • Capitol Hill forum reminder: The Capitol Hill mayoral candidate forum will be held October 3rd from 7 to 9 PM at Barboza (11th at Pike). Watch for more details on sign up for free tickets… soon.
  • The 43rd District Democrats weighed in with some fall endorsements Tuesday night. Incumbent City Council member Richard Conlin got the nod as did support for I-522’s GMO labeling and Seattle’s public campaign finance Prop 1.
  • CD forum: Conlin’s opposition, Socialist candidate Kshama Sawant, turned up with a lot of supporters at Tuesday night’s social services candidates forum held in the CD. Publicola has a few notes about the session.
  • Affordability forum: Affordable housing will be on the docket at the October 1st candidates forum planned by the Housing Development Consortium. The daytime event will be held at Pike Place Market’s atrium.
  • 23rd Ave meeting: Saturday, September 21st brings the 23rd Avenue Community Open House.
  • Reasonable microhousing: CHS has featured community group Reasonable Density’s opposition to microhousing on Capitol Hill over the past year. Turns out, the group is fine with aPodments in one part of the city — downtown.
  • Domestic violence response: A surge in reported cases has both candidates pushing domestic violence solutions into the campaign spotlight.
  • Pre-school for all: A City Council committee has approved legislation to explore a universal pre-school program for Seattle:

    The legislation enables the City Council, working with the City’s Office for Education and local experts providing early learning opportunities, to accomplish the following over the next 6 to 9 months:

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umvue.blue
umvue.blue
10 years ago

Hmm. With a 10% cell response any half-way decent survey statistician will appropriately weight the sample to diminish any potential bias. Math.

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[…] not broken out by geography, the most recent polling showed McGinn surveyed much stronger with voters who made less than $40K annually, while Murray […]