Who will lead the (hopefully) United Neighborhoods of District 3?

Screen Shot 2013-11-07 at 9.17.04 PMLike it or not, district-based city council seats will be here in 2015. As of Thursday’s last count, nearly 65% of Seattle voters approved Charter Amendment 19 to drastically re-calibrate the city’s top elected body. Under the new arrangement the city will have seven district-based council seats and two at large representatives, with Capitol Hill dominating Seattle District 3.

District-based council seats represent a historic shift in the political dynamics of the city and will likely cast a microscope over neighborhood politics. Madison Park moms, Seattle Central Community College students, and Central District old-timers will now all be jostling to elect and influence one single council member in the Fighting Third.

A lot of political rising and falling can happen in two years, so District 3 candidate predictions may be premature. Who would run if the elections were held today? Wyking GarrettSandy Cioffi? Bobby Forch? Dominic HoldenJason Lajeunesse? Toss out your best guesses/nominations in comments.

Kshama Sawant, your first District 3 Council alderperson? (Image: CHS)

Kshama Sawant, your first District 3 Council alderperson? (Image: CHS)

Screen Shot 2013-11-07 at 9.22.19 PMOne person who definitely won’t be running is Madrona resident Richard Conlin, who announced his plans Wednesday to not seek reelection after his two-year term. Conlin went through a bruising campaign this cycle against firebrand socialist Kshama Sawant. District 3’s first Council chief might not be a very interesting discussion by the time the final 2013 votes are counted. Sawant’s camp believes the late tallies have swung so far toward the Socialist Alternative candidate’s favor that she’ll win the race outright. District 3, your first leader might already be in place.Screen Shot 2013-11-07 at 9.22.36 PM

UPDATE — Saturday, November 9th, 7 AM: Following Friday night’s latest count, Sawant had pulled to within 1,237 votes of Conlin with some 30,000 ballots left to count.

Those running for district seats must reside in the district, but are only required to have lived there for 120 days prior to their declaration of candidacy. Council members must also stay in the district throughout their term in office. At-large candidates can live anywhere in the city. According to the charter amendment the districts will be redrawn every decade to account for population shifts.

One upside of the boundaries is that demographic changes in the district will be easy to track. Eastlake aside, the three Capitol Hill zip codes — 98122, 98102, and 98112 — are a near mirror of the District 3 boundaries. CHS recently reported how a majority of District 3 residents cannot “afford” to buy a home in the area. The rising cost of living in the district will likely be a key issue for the next council member.

District 3 may also have the widest household income range of any other district in the city, from the near $250K average annual incomes in Broadmoor, to an $18K average annual income in one Yessler Terrace precinct.

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The changeover from all at-large to mostly district representation will be a little tricky and won’t be fully on-track until 2017. That’s when the two at large council members will be elected to 4-year terms; district representatives will run for 4-year terms starting in 2015. Here are the details of the transition from King County Elections:

To make the change to districts, the five council members elected in the 2011 City Council elections would serve their present terms ending on December 31, 2015, and the four council members elected in the 2013 City Council elections would serve two-year terms also ending on December 31, 2015.   In 2015, the two at-large council members would be elected to two-year terms ending on December 31, 2017, and the seven district council members would be elected to four year terms ending on December 31, 2019.  Thereafter, all members would be elected to four-year terms.

Seattle District 3 includes Capitol Hill and the Central District as well as the heavily residential, homeowner dominated neighborhoods of Madison Park, Madrona, and Montlake. Critics of the boundaries have argued that the map was drawn up based on irrelevant geographic boundaries that disenfranchised denser neighborhoods by splitting them apart.

District supporters have promised greater accountability from elected officials. For many that will mean having a one stop complaint-line for any issue, instead of having to look up which council member chairs the relevant committee.

The new district representatives will also presumably be an important voice on wider neighborhood issues. Where current at-large council members can afford to dither on neighborhood nit-and-grit, the District 3 rep would likely be pressed to take a stance on specific issues, like whether the streetcar should go to Volunteer Park or if the lights should stay on all night at Cal Anderson Park.

Most of District 3 is contained east of I-5, but there are two notable exceptions.  According to the Districts Now! map, District 3 takes a strip of downtown blocks between 5th and 6th Avenues to include the King County jail, SPD headquarters, and the municipal court. A small chunk of South Lake Union included in the district scoops up The Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research campus and Lake Union Park.

And as you ponder who could possibly lead D3 to bring together everyone, from the raucous to the retired, don’t forget Capitol Hill’s newest rap star neighbor.

Seattle-Districts-Now_7-2_Map.pdf

McGinn concedes
The writing was on the wall after the first count on Election Night. But Mayor Mike McGinn held out until Thursday morning when he graciously conceded the race to victor Ed Murray.

“We were outspent two to one,” McGinn said “And we put up a hell of a fight.”

As of Thursday night, Murray tallied 54.27% of the vote vs. McGinn’s 45.14%. The final election results will be certified at the end of the month.

Peters wins
In the end, Sue Peters walloped her challenger in the race for the Seattle Schools District 4 board seat. The activist parent nailed down more than 53% of the vote prompting opponent Suzanne Dale Estey to wave the white flag and concede the race.

You can read more about Peters and her plans for representing District 4 at suepeters4schoolboard.org.

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10 thoughts on “Who will lead the (hopefully) United Neighborhoods of District 3?

  1. This is NIMBY homeowner empowerment pure and simple. Guaranteed. In other major cities with district election, district representation means parochial NIMBY concerns get elevated over what is best for the common good.

    But that’s what the neighborhood “activists” (i.e. NIMBYs) behind this measure wanted. Enjoy being ruled by cranky old reactionary white people.

    • Table A. Percentage voting yes on Charter Amendment 19 by minority percent status of precinct (quintiles)

      Minority % % of precincts % Yes CA19
      > 80 3 64.4
      60 – 80 6 67.3
      40 – 60 9 67.1
      20 – 40 29 67.0
      <20 53 65.0

      Table B. Percentage voting yes on Charter Amendment 19 by home tenure status

      Home Classification % of precincts % Yes CA19
      Majority Renters 35 68.6
      Majority Owners 65 64.5

      Table C. Percentage voting yes on Charter Amendment 19 by median age of precinct voters

      Age Classification % of precincts % Yes CA19
      <35 23 69.4
      ≥35 77 64.9

  2. Exactly, all the wealthy old white people in this city think they’re too good to share the city. Guess what all the working class will move out. City council will build homeless shelters everywhere out of misplaced guilt, the entire city will smell like piss just like San Fran. You won’t be able to walk a block with out seeing bums shooting up or giving each other blow jobs just like San Francisco. Being a whitey I already knew this is how the white people in this city are, I avoid and despise seattles white people. When I get on the bus I walk right past my fellow white people and sit with the Asians, blacks or Hispanics.

  3. So excited that Seattle is finally maturing into a proper city and realizing you need district representation. The all at-large council approach was a total joke as they only served their own needs. Now each district has a specific voice. Well-done Seattle!

    • It won’t be so great when Capitol Hill gets overrun by the other neighborhoods of District 3: predominately white homeowners who vote. If you look at voting statistics, young, mobile, renting populations (like CapHill) are less likely to vote, especially in off-year elections. Older, white, property-owning voters are more likely to vote in all elections. With Broadmoor, Washington Park, Madison Park, Montlake, Denny Blaine, Madrona and Leschi, Sawant can kiss her ass goodbye in District 3. Sawant’s showing against Conlin represents voters across all of Seattle, but in the new 3rd she’ll tank. Broadmoor/Washington Park (and its money) alone will see to that.

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