Wednesday, March 1, 2023 - 8:41 AM

Mapping Seattle’s I-135 vote as social housing hopped District 3’s E Republican line

jseattle

Thanks to @J2XL for again providing mapping of key Seattle election results

District 3 voters showed some of the strongest support in the city in the February election that established a new social housing developer at Seattle City Hall. And a few key voting trend borders within the district were breached including the vaunted E Republican line.

The precinct by precinct results from the February special election have been finalized and mapped by analysts. They follow some familiar general patterns of approval for progressive causes and candidates including Seattle’s propensity for voters in its waterfront regions to separate themselves from the core of the city.

Overall, D3 voters supported I-135 to establish a public social housing developer at the second highest rate in Seattle, trailing only the south’s District 2. 65% of District 3 ballots were cast with a “yes” vote vs. 57% across all voters. The initiative won every district in the city with only West Seattle’s District 1 cutting things close at 50.1%.

The D3 area including Capitol Hill, the Central District, and surrounding neighborhoods also placed second in terms of turnout at 36%, trailing only the northwest’s District 6, according to analysis from @andrewmhong. That potent mix of relatively high turnout and high support, by the way, shows why D3 is an absolute must win for any progressive candidate hoping to win a citywide seat in Seattle.

A core of support around 24th Ave E

A look at the maps reveals the I-135 vote also breached some strong political divides in District 3 including the E Republican line that has been a marker in recent city council and mayoral votes as the wealthier, more single family housing-dominated areas of the district’s north have tended to back more conservative and business-focused candidates. That line, basically, held again in 2021’s recall vote defeated by Councilmember Kshama Sawant.

In the I-135 vote to establish a public developer to acquire and take over management of existing properties for affordable housing while also developing new projects, pockets of support formed above E Republican and coalesced around the Montlake neighborhood. Eastlake, set to be fully part of D3 in the most recent redistricting, also showed strong support for I-135. The initiative, however, mostly failed to penetrate the Lake Washington waterfront.

With I-135 victorious, CHS reported here on what is happening next with the process.

Now attention turns to which map will take shape in this year’s city council races as D3 candidates vie for the August primary and the top two go through to November. The E Republican line has been breached on an issue of housing and equity. Which candidate can take advantage of the opportunity?

Thanks to Jason Weill for creating the King County WA February 2023 Special Election Final Results Tableau visualizations and making them available for all to publish and learn from.

 

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